Have you ever noticed how little you hear about the Philippines market in these days? When was the last time you heard about a hot stock tip from that country? The Philippines contains a lot of people, about 72 million in fact, and it also has reasonably good...
Andrew West
Andrew West is a Contributing Economics Editor for Capitalism Magazine. In 1997 he received the Chartered Financial Analyst designation from the Association for Investment Management and Research.
Breaking the Tokyo Banks?
Back in 1998, the big question in Japan was which, if any, of Tokyo’s big banks could escape collapse. Burdened by massive, non-performing loans, and holding assets (like Tokyo real estate) that had plunged in value, Japan’s big banks were in a serious...
An Insolvency that is Good for Thailand
Last Wednesday, 15 March 2000), a Thai bankruptcy court declared that Thai Petrochemical Industry Plc., (TPI) was insolvent. Thai investors, while hardly jubilant, were likely to be relieved about one thing: a Thai company can no longer refuse to pay back creditors...
Beware of a Stock Market that Trades Above Average
Covering International equities over the last decade has been an interesting experience. Emerging markets in Asia and Latin America have gone through a couple of rounds of boom and bust, compressing into a few short years as much euphoria and desperation as most...
Conclusions Misdrawn: Backseat Drivers Look In the Rear View Mirror
A lot of friends who dabble in the stock market have been calling me lately to pick my brain about this or that Internet stock. Of course, any word of caution or concern I express over lofty valuations invariably falls on deaf ears. God forbid I actually say anything...
Putting Your Investment Eggs in One Basket
Stock market indexes and market leadership has been growing increasingly concentrated in a small number of stocks and sectors. Professional portfolio managers often react to this market concentration by allocating more money to fewer stocks, reducing their...
How Investors Can Become Divorced From Reality: The Stock Market School of Hard Knocks
I’ve worked as an equity analyst and portfolio manager for about eight years now, focusing on international markets. The question that I and most others in my profession are constantly asking ourselves is, “is the market wrong about this?” As a...
The Battle Over the Economy: A Review of Popular Schools of Economic Thought (Part 2)
In my last article, I talked about the contradictory nature of the economic theories representing various schools of thought, and the fact that some of the most useful theories, those of the Supply-side school, are receiving the least amount of attention. Many of the...
The Battle Over the Economy: A Review of Popular Schools of Economic Thought (Part 1)
The rate hike by the Federal Reserve has spurred a lot of discussion and a lot of disagreement about inflation and the economy. While differing opinions in economics have always been a reality, I thought it would be a good idea to clear the air a bit and go over the...
Taiwan: Stumbling in the Dark
Political news shook Taiwan’s economy last week. The tumultuous chain of events began with a cancelled power project, led to a cabinet shakeup, a warning to investors, and then a run on the stock market. Afterwards, Taiwan ‘s recently elected President...
The IMF in Brazil = Inflation + Recession
Mundell’s economic policy recommendations have been summarized as: “low taxes solve recession, hard money solves inflation”.
Here Comes Mickey Mao: Hong Kong’s new Mickey Mouse economics
Hong Kong’s new government appears to be losing its inhibitions about contradicting market prices, favoring some industries over others, and using taxpayers’ money to dispense windfall profits to those in favor. The deal recently signed with Disney to...
Clinton-China vs. Taiwan-America: Independence Day’s Meaning Long Forgotten
On July 4, the US celebrated its 223rd birthday with hot dogs, cotton candy, ice-cream and fireworks. There was much self-congratulation but few tributes to the day’s real meaning. July 4, 1776 was the day the Continental Congress approved and signed the...
‘Capitalists’ Celebrate 50 Years of Communism in China
I’ve seen numerous broadcasts of news programs on CCTV (the Chinese State-controlled TV channel) via satellite transmission. Even without the benefit of English translation, it is obvious that many of the “news” shows are little more than...
The Unfavorable ”Balance of Trade” and Other Dense Horror Stories
Government leaders have, for centuries, bemoaned the imagined ills of trade deficits. Kings of ancient yore endeavored to achieve surpluses to fund their wars. Dictators of all stripes have carefully sheltered their economies from foreign goods. Because of this...
The “Bubble” Theory is Full of Hot Air: A Case Study in Japan
What the market at large did not foresee [which] perhaps could be called a ‘widespread error in thinking’, was that Japanese politicians would [take] political issue [with] the quickly increasing prosperity.
The Importance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average Reaching 10,000
As a global equity analyst, I have been faced of late with many questions concerning “DOW 10,000”. Investors are curious about the importance of this number, and whether it is an indication of good economic news. For those of you pondering the same issue,...
The Economic Spin Doctors: Perception Creates Economic Reality
“A lot of what keeps some economies immune is the fact that people think they’re immune. Believing makes it so. And that’s very good.” – Paul Krugman, MIT Economist A dangerous notion is currently gaining credence among global...
The Hydra of Protectionism!
This quarter the Clinton administration played the “good cop/bad cop” game. US chief trade representative, Charlene Barshefsky, was the bad cop, menacing Japanese steel producers with threats of punitive measures for “dumping”. Robert Rubin...
“Mixed Economy” Pragmatism versus Capitalist Principles in England
England’s Tories, following the dubious example set by their US Republican counterparts, seem to have also concluded that standing on principle is politically inexpedient. The Tories recently chose to celebrate the twentieth anniversary of Margaret...
The IMF in Brazil: The Emperor Has No Clothes!
I’m not sure what’s more infuriating: witnessing Brazil’s drawn out slow-motion crash and burn after an endless string of stupid policies over the past year; the sudden breakdown in devaluative stupidity; or enduring the lame economic analysis that...
Bureaucracy Goes Global: The World Bank vs Capitalism
Some months back the World Bank issued a report titled “Global Economic Prospects 1998/1999”. The report’s foreword, written by Joseph Stiglitz, World Bank Chief Economist, is demonstration of how statists blame capitalism and free-markets for the...
Will the Real Alan Greenspan Please Stand Up?
“An almost hysterical antagonism toward the gold standard is one issue which unites statists of all persuasions. They seem to sense, perhaps more clearly and subtly than many consistent defenders of laissez-faire, that gold and economic freedom are inseparable,...
Fun with Accounting: How the IMF avoids admitting that it regularly makes bad loans financed by US taxpayers
Accounting is no fun to me. In business school, it struck me as the dullest and most tedious part of the curriculum. Throughout the Chartered Financial Analyst program, accounting studies kept me up past an acceptable bedtime. So while I’m proud to say that...
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