Archive | Investing

Investors Ignore Frightful Geopolitics

When the former Soviet Union collapsed almost 25 years ago, most global strategic forecasters assumed that the U.S. would adapt pragmatically to her new status of sole world superpower. Instead she has pursued a variety of misguided nation-building adventures and has largely shrunk from her primary responsibility of neutralizing the ambitions of petty dictators around […]

Too Big to Pop?

It’s as if the concept of “too big to fail” has evolved into the belief that some bubbles are too big to pop.

Riding Into The Sunset or a Brick Wall

A month ago, I presented the case for why Fed Chairman Bernanke would have strong motivation to launch another round of quantitative easing (QE) before the election. In short, it would save him his job. Now, I didn’t predict with certainty that he would do so – only the few men at the FOMC knew […]

Priced for Collapse

A couple of years ago, I predicted gold would cross $1500 and even my own staff thought the call was too risky, too extreme. But I knew then, as I know now, that at the end of the day the gold price is not a mystery – it’s a proxy for dollar weakness.

Don’t Catch Recovery Fever

Recovery fever will wear off as Washington is forced to release propaganda that is more and more incongruous with facts on the ground. And gold will resume its climb in earnest.

Wary Investors Give US Stocks Another Go

Recently, the stock market has been roaring, with the S&P 500 up a stunning 22% from October 3, 2011, which was the low of last year. In fact, the first month of 2012 has been one of the best Januaries on record for US stocks. On top of that, last Friday’s better-than-expected jobs report seems […]

Wary Investors Give US Stocks Another Go

Recently, the stock market has been roaring, with the S&P 500 up a stunning 22% from October 3, 2011, which was the low of last year. In fact, the first month of 2012 has been one of the best Januaries on record for US stocks. On top of that, last Friday’s better-than-expected jobs report seems […]

What Effect of Near Zero Interest Rates Until 2014 Have On The Economy?

With its announcement last week that it will keep interest rates near zero until at least late 2014, the Federal Reserve has put another large crack into the foundations underlying the US dollar. In a misguided attempt to provide clarity and transparency, Ben Bernanke has instead laid out a simple road map for economists and […]

Straightening Out the Strait

By:  John Browne Wednesday, January 25, 2012 Recently some of the fears that investors had focused on in the 11th hour debt negotiations in Greece have drifted southeastward towards the Strait of Hormuz. An increasingly bellicose Iran threatens to throw the world economy into confusion with the potential closure of one of the world's most important […]

Fed Plays PR Games

The world was taken by surprise recently by the Federal Reserve Board’s announcement that it would publish some of its economic forecasting that forms the basis for its short-term interest rate strategy. The Fed claims that the move will vastly increase so-called transparency, which has become a buzz word for honesty and virtue. However, the […]

Fed Plays PR Games

By:  John Browne Friday, January 13, 2012 The world was taken by surprise recently by the Federal Reserve Board’s announcement that it would publish some of its economic forecasting that forms the basis for its short-term interest rate strategy. The Fed claims that the move will vastly increase so-called transparency, which has become a buzz […]

Who is the Real Barack Obama?

For most of his time as a national political figure, Barack Obama has been careful to cloak his core socialist leanings behind a veil of pro-capitalist rhetoric. This makes strategic sense, as Americans still largely identify as pro-capitalist. However, based on his speech last month in Osawatomie, Kansas, the President appears to have reassessed the […]