Richard M Salsman

Dr. Salsman is president of InterMarket Forecasting, Inc., an assistant professor of political economy at Duke University and a senior fellow at the American Institute for Economic Research. Previously he was an economist at Wainwright Economics, Inc. and a banker at the Bank of New York and Citibank. Dr. Salsman has authored three books: Breaking the Banks: Central Banking Problems and Free Banking Solutions (AIER, 1990), Gold and Liberty (AIER, 1995), and The Political Economy of Public Debt: Three Centuries of Theory and Evidence (Edward Elgar Publishing, 2017). In 2021 his fourth book – Where Have all the Capitalist Gone? – will be published by the American Institute for Economic Research. He is also author of a dozen chapters and scores of articles. His work has appeared in the Georgetown Journal of Law and Public Policy, Reason Papers, the Wall Street Journal, the New York Times, Forbes, the Economist, the Financial Post, the Intellectual Activist, and The Objective Standard. Dr. Salsman earned his B.A. in economics from Bowdoin College (1981), his M.A. in economics from New York University (1988), and his Ph.D. in political economy from Duke University (2012). His personal website is richardsalsman.com.

The Inverted Yield Curve and Next US Recession

Since the late 1960s US yield-curve inversions have predicted all eight US recessions, beginning roughly a year in advance.

Markets, the Dollar, and the “War on Terrorism”

Investors should expect continued weakness in the dollar over the coming months and year, by 8-12% against most major currencies. Dollar weakness this year already has exerted a bearish influence on U.S. stocks and will continue to do so with a lag. If, as we expect,...

A Spring-loaded Bull Market

U.S. corporate profits rose 56% in the first half of 2002, yet stock prices have plunged. The problem is not corporate governance, it's political governance Contrary to popular opinion, most of America's CEOs are doing a fabulous job. On the heels of a 50% profit...

The Trend Toward Totalitarian Government

A truly civilized, wealth-respecting world would observe capital flight and brain drains, recoil in horror and stop penalizing success. It would cut tax rates and regulation and cease calling wealth-makers as criminals who deserve a noose -- or deportation. But this...

The War on Capital — Not Terrorism

The War on Capital — Not Terrorism

Just as they’ve blurred the distinction between legal tax avoidance and illegal tax evasion, OECD officials have tried to blur the distinction between money-laundering and tax havens — even though the latter involves moving illegally-gained money above-ground, from the “underground economy” while tax avoidance involves legally moving legally-made money to jurisdictions with the lowest tax rates.

Tax Competition: Enemy of the Welfare State

Tax Competition: Enemy of the Welfare State

In addition to offering sanctuary to the world's tax-burdened, tax havens provide an indirect benefit to the tax-payers who remain pinned under welfare state tax burdens: they cause tax rates and tax burdens in those welfare states to be lower than they might be...

The Case in Favor of Tax Havens

Ironically, tax haven nations and territories achieve precisely the goals first set out by the OECD in the early 1960s. Here's how the OECD described (as it still, hypocritically, describes) its initial goals: To achieve the highest sustainable economic growth and...

The Alleged Harm Done By Tax Havens

Tax burdens imposed by the world's welfare states -- especially those imposed on the wealthiest, most successful entrepreneurs and shareholders -- have increased with every passing year. No wonder "Atlas is Shrugging." By accessing tax havens (or any other manner of...

Mythical Roots of Antitrust: Preface

Mythical Roots of Antitrust: Preface

Most of you will recall the scandal during the winter Olympics a few years back, when disgruntled skating competitor Tanya Harding hired a thug to take a pipe to the shins of Nancy Kerrigan. Harding was envious of Kerrigan's superior ability and tried to cripple her...

Assault Microsoft, Assault the NASDAQ

Assault Microsoft, Assault the NASDAQ

Earlier this month US District Court Judge Thomas Penfield Jackson issued his "conclusions of law" in the Microsoft antitrust case. BAM! Nearly $90 billion in value was destroyed--at Microsoft alone. The firm's stock plunged 14%. The broader NASDAQ index fell...

Microsoft’s Real Sin: Sanction of the Victim

Microsoft’s Real Sin: Sanction of the Victim

Like other antitrust targets, Microsoft, is guilty--of something. They're guilty of something terrible. They're guilty of believing they're guilty. They're guilty of believing they're evil. They're guilty of apologizing for they're success, for their sales, their...

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