Over and over again we hear Biden and others from around the world claim that Palestinian Statehood will resolve the Gaza crisis. This idea is floated as a magic solution to the Israel-Gaza conflict.
Many have reluctantly admitted that it is not clear exactly how this could be implemented but they still want the job to be finished. But nobody seems to have identified what would happen if the Gazans did attain statehood.
The relevant context here is that the Gazans and other Islamic countries have held as an axiom, since the creation of Israel in 1947, that Israel must be destroyed. When Israel attained statehood, the first thing that happened was that a group of Islamic countries mounted a full-scale invasion to do just that. The Nazi achievement of killing 6 million Jews was not considered sufficient because the goal of extermination was not completed. The Islamists wanted to finish the job.
Israel has been attacked since 1947 at least seven times. Israel won every time. But the core goal has never been abandoned.
Some Islamic states have accepted the legitimacy of Israel’s statehood but Gaza and others never have. Each time Gaza has been defeated, they play an often successful PR game to gain sympathy. The Gazan leaders proudly claim martyrdom for their citizens (who never voted to go to war). Then they demand money to rebuild.
Unlike the Nazis and Japanese at the end of WW II, the Gazan leaders never surrender. They go into hiding in tunnels and other countries. Then they plan for the next attack, getting arms from Iran and others.
So what would happen if they became an official state? This is not hard to predict. They would be sure to start getting advanced weapons from Iran, North Korea, Russia, and China. These dictatorships fear and hate the U.S. and would like to undermine us in every way possible. Using Gaza as a proxy would be ideal for them. The Gazans would seek revenge. The results would be a new and much more dangerous war.
The starting point for a resolution would be for Gazans to abandon their core goal: the extermination of Israel and Jews from the river to the sea.
After that, it would be critical for Gazans to work to support the concept of individual rights, including a multiparty system, freedom of the press, freedom of religion, and the re-discovery of their best philosophers who were Aristotelians.
This last might be their best chance for success in the real world.